The Patriots will head to Miami this weekend as the biggest road favorites since the 2007 season. They open up as 19 point favorites and are fully expected to squish the fish. The Dolphins are projected to be one of the worst teams in NFL history this season. They are currently in full tank mode after getting beat 59-10 by the Ravens in their first game. Meanwhile the defending champions looked as good as ever after destroying the Steelers at home.
These are two teams headed in completely different directions. Although I expect the Patriots to handle their business, I sure wouldn’t go betting on them to cover the 19 points. If this game feels like a trap and it should. For whatever reason the Patriots always have trouble in Miami, including last years miracle last second comeback by the Dolphins. Tom Brady and the Patriots are only 1-5 at Miami since 2013 and all of those teams were mediocre at best. Until the Patriots break their curse in Miami it will be in their heads.
Of course things could finally go the way they are supposed to and the Patriots can bury the Dolphins by 50, but road division games are always tricky regardless of the difference in talent.
Patriots favored by 19 points in Week 2 at Dolphins. The last time a road team was favored by that many points was in 2007, when New England was a 19.5 favorite at Baltimore. Disregard: Tom Brady has as many losses in Miami since 2013 (1-5) as he does at Gillette Stadium (50-5).
— Ed Werder (@WerderEdESPN) September 10, 2019